Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 0.162757 0.186501 0.213533 0.246805 0.286952 0.334215 0.394628
2025-04-27 0.128222 0.159459 0.199035 0.253829 0.329309 0.432093 0.587139
2025-05-04 0.107142 0.141312 0.188141 0.259099 0.367834 0.535382 0.829059
2025-05-11 0.093520 0.129133 0.181076 0.265835 0.408080 0.652872 1.147633
2025-05-18 0.082771 0.118542 0.173408 0.268616 0.441368 0.769546 1.528535
2025-05-25 0.074248 0.109622 0.166231 0.269821 0.471281 0.890514 1.995872
2025-06-01 0.066971 0.101435 0.158601 0.268124 0.494620 1.007017 2.540162
2025-06-08 0.060595 0.093775 0.150520 0.263641 0.510663 1.113809 3.151357
2025-06-15 0.056951 0.090183 0.148916 0.271201 0.554996 1.311758 4.275436
2025-06-22 0.052173 0.084020 0.141693 0.265754 0.567429 1.429899 5.250602
2025-06-29 0.049012 0.080361 0.138633 0.268517 0.601140 1.630800 6.922001
2025-07-06 0.045607 0.075881 0.133372 0.265356 0.618496 1.790051 8.692059
2025-07-13 0.043263 0.073196 0.131459 0.269894 0.660081 2.068947 11.983017
2025-07-20 0.041331 0.071104 0.130501 0.276657 0.711451 2.430715 17.286281
2025-07-27 0.039474 0.068962 0.129154 0.282222 0.761806 2.837499 25.222097
2025-08-03 0.037927 0.067273 0.128555 0.289643 0.821961 3.358525 38.781119
2025-08-10 0.036202 0.065052 0.126490 0.292719 0.868630 3.866896 58.293198
2025-08-17 0.034515 0.062753 0.123971 0.294057 0.910003 4.403454 88.362400
2025-08-24 0.032775 0.060192 0.120550 0.292161 0.938422 4.901470 131.368247
2025-08-31 0.031004 0.057422 0.116337 0.287162 0.952513 5.324917 189.539712
2025-09-07 0.030131 0.056510 0.116484 0.295593 1.030168 6.416897 382.306470
2025-09-14 0.028553 0.053934 0.112278 0.289518 1.038751 6.910453 590.962154
2025-09-21 0.027556 0.052569 0.110953 0.292600 1.094180 8.018565 1274.611188